China Oil, Gas and Chemical Monthly: No meaningful improvement in Hormuz flow in May; CCPI retreated on subdued procurement
Report Coverage
- Broker
- UBS
- Region
- China, Middle East, Global
- Sector
- Basic Chemicals, Transportation, Fossil Energy
- Report Type
- Market Report
- Primary Focus
- Hormuz supply disruption and China chemical demand
Report Summary
UBS monthly on China's oil, gas, and chemicals sector. Strait of Hormuz supply disruption continues with Brent at USD103.7/bbl and no meaningful improvement in shipping flows, while the global crude deficit may reach -6.7Mb/d in Q2. China's chemical price index (CCPI) dropped 4% MoM as downstream procurement remained subdued.
Key Takeaways
- Brent futures rose USD1 MoM to USD103.7/bbl
- Crude supply losses in Gulf reached 13.5Mb/d in April, estimated >15Mb/d in May
- Global oil inventories fell to five-year low of 7.6bn bbl
- CCPI fell 4% MoM
- Acrylic acid price/spread fell 29%/62%
- UBS prefers Wanhua Chemical, Satellite Chemical, Baofeng Energy
- Downstream restocking in Q3 2026E could support prices
Why This Report Matters
The ongoing Hormuz supply disruption is reshaping global crude balances while China's chemical sector faces cyclical weakness — the interplay between geopolitical supply risk and downstream demand recovery is critical for energy and chemical investors.
Topics Covered
Companies Mentioned
Who this summary is for
This summary is for users researching the UBS China Oil, Gas and Chemical Monthly report. It helps users review China Oil, Gas and Chemical Monthly: No meaningful improvement in Hormuz flow in May; CCPI retreated on subdued procurement coverage, key takeaways, and related broker or sector research paths across Crude oil, Strait of Hormuz, China chemicals; Wanhua Chemical, Satellite Chemical.
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