UBS 2026-06-02

Global Oil and Gas: Hormuz tracker: day 94

Industry Report English 23 Pages

Report Coverage

Broker
UBS
Region
Middle East (Persian Gulf, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iran, Iraq, Qatar, Kuwait, Israel)
Sector
Transportation, Fossil Energy
Report Type
Industry Report
Primary Focus
Hormuz shipping disruption & infrastructure damage

Report Summary

Day 94 of the Strait of Hormuz disruption. Oil prices pulled back after Trump indicated discussions with Iran were progressing rapidly, though Iranian media said it was still reviewing the US proposal. Only 4 tanker crossings per day versus nearly 50/day pre-conflict. Extensive infrastructure damage documented across the Gulf region.

Key Takeaways

  • Tanker crossings ~92% below pre-conflict February levels; strait effectively closed to normal commercial traffic
  • Iranian crude exports collapsed from 1.7 Mb/d in March to under 0.3 Mb/d in May
  • Bypass route volumes averaged 5.8 Mb/d, short of expected 6.5 Mb/d capacity
  • Attacks hit Saudi Aramco refineries, Qatar LNG facilities (~17% of Qatar's export capacity), UAE Fujairah storage, Iraq's North Rumaila
  • Diplomatic signals mixed: Trump claims rapid progress but fighting in Lebanon continues
  • Bab-el-Mandeb Strait flows rose sharply, suggesting rerouting of global shipping

Why This Report Matters

Day 94 data shows the Hormuz crisis remains unresolved with massive infrastructure damage, keeping global energy supply under severe stress.

Topics Covered

Strait of Hormuz Iran conflict oil tanker shipping energy infrastructure strikes bypass pipeline capacity diplomatic negotiations

Companies Mentioned

Saudi Aramco ADNOC Shell QatarEnergy

Who this summary is for

This summary is for users researching the UBS Global Oil and Gas report. It helps users review Global Oil and Gas: Hormuz tracker: day 94 coverage, key takeaways, and related broker or sector research paths across Strait of Hormuz, Iran conflict, oil tanker shipping; Saudi Aramco, ADNOC.

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