Goldman Sachs 2026-06-17

Booming Datacenter pipeline and AI spending boom - the pivotal role of energy: POWERING UP EUROPE

Industry Report English 15 Pages

Report Coverage

Broker
Goldman Sachs
Region
Europe
Sector
AI Infrastructure, Software & IT Services, Utilities
Report Type
Industry Report
Primary Focus
European datacenter build-out and electrification super-cycle for utilities

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Report Summary

Goldman Sachs updates its European datacenter pipeline estimate to approximately 480 GW, equivalent to 1.5x current European power demand, up from 170 GW in January 2025 and 290 GW six months ago. The EU Datacenter Association expects +20 GW of capacity additions by 2031, nearly tripling existing capacity to 35 GW, with 60% already under construction or at FID. Big Tech AI capex from the five main hyperscalers is projected to reach nearly $1 trillion in 2027, a tenfold increase versus 2023, with cumulative 2023-27 investments of $2.4 trillion. Goldman Sachs favors three company clusters: transformative electrification stories (Naturgy, Enel, Engie), renewables developers and manufacturers (RWE, EDPR, Solaria, Orsted, Vestas, Nordex), and energy security providers (Siemens Energy, EON, Snam), trading at an average 12x P/E and 7.5x EV/EBITDA by 2030E.

Key Takeaways

  • European DC pipeline surged to ~480 GW (1.5x EU power demand), nearly tripling from 170 GW in Jan 2025, signaling a major datacenter construction phase spread fairly evenly across the continent.
  • EUDCA forecasts +20 GW DC additions by 2031 (to ~35 GW total), with 60% already under construction or FID, driving +1.5% annual power consumption growth by 2028-29 and DCs reaching ~10% of EU power demand.
  • Big Tech AI capex from five main hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Oracle) projected to reach ~$960 bn in 2027, a near tenfold increase vs 2023, with cumulative 2023-27 spending of $2.4 trillion.
  • Agentic AI queries consume up to 50x more energy than typical AI chatbots; a 10pp uptick in Agentic AI adoption could boost European DC needs by 25-30%, pushing installed capacity to ~80 GW by 2035.
  • Goldman Sachs' hyper-electrification scenario projects +5% annual power demand growth by 2030, supporting EUR 3.5 trillion in power generation and grid investment needs and a generational earnings super-cycle for utilities.
  • The three favored company clusters trade at ~12x P/E and ~7.5x EV/EBITDA by 2030E, a discount to the sector average despite higher growth prospects, with base case EPS CAGR of ~9% to end of decade.

Why This Report Matters

This report provides a comprehensive framework for investors to capitalize on the generational electrification and AI-driven datacenter build-out in Europe, identifying specific beneficiary companies across utilities, renewables, and energy security that trade at attractive valuations despite structurally higher growth prospects.

Topics Covered

European datacenter pipeline and construction boom AI infrastructure capex and hyperscaler spending power demand growth from electrification and datacenters Agentic AI energy intensity and adoption impact European utilities earnings super-cycle renewable energy developers and energy security providers

Companies Mentioned

Naturgy Enel Engie RWE EDPR Solaria Orsted Vestas Nordex Siemens Energy E.ON Snam Amazon Microsoft Alphabet Meta Oracle

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This summary is for users researching the Goldman Sachs Booming Datacenter pipeline and AI spending boom - the pivotal role of energy report. It helps users review Booming Datacenter pipeline and AI spending boom - the pivotal role of energy: POWERING UP EUROPE coverage, key takeaways, and related broker or sector research paths across European datacenter pipeline and construction boom, AI infrastructure capex and hyperscaler spending, power demand growth from electrification and datacenters; Naturgy, Enel.

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