Credit Bulletin: Deleveraging and Growth Story Intact Despite Leadership Churn
BP is a large, globally diversified, integrated energy company based in the UK. Historically, BP operated three main business segments: (i) Oil Production &…
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Fixed income research across credit spreads, bonds, liquidity, default risk and financing markets.
BP is a large, globally diversified, integrated energy company based in the UK. Historically, BP operated three main business segments: (i) Oil Production &…
Citi’s Credit Card Data for US Restaurants – Week Ending 7/25/26 Aggregate restaurant spend data grew by +3.2% Yr/Yr, with transactions up +2.3% and check…
Citi card data show continued divergence across US industrial-linked spending: HVAC contractor activity declined during the week while automotive service…
The market assumes Eurozone credit conditions are uniformly tightening, but the latest lending survey reveals a clear divergence between corporate and…
The market believes EM sovereign spreads are vulnerable to renewed Middle East conflict, but the data shows that recent spread-widening episodes have…
The market treats Latin America as a single homogenous EM block, but June returns reveal a 19-percentage-point spread between Andean winners and Southern Cone…
The market treats EM sovereign credit as a homogeneous asset class, but data reveals a structural divergence between high-yield and investment-grade…
The market broadly assumes EM HY can continue to tighten versus US HY, but the 14bp spread differential already prices in the lower oil regime. Further…
The market assumes CDS volatility follows a fixed smile or local volatility heuristic, but JPMorgan's research reveals a stable 'sticky strike plus' regime…
The market assumes synchronized easing across Asian central banks, but the crude price collapse is creating a structural policy divide between oil importers…
The market assumes global bond yields and oil prices will move in tandem or remain range-bound, but Barclays forecasts reveal a structural divergence: US…
The market mistakenly believes EM sovereign credit risk is compressing uniformly across all ratings and regions. But actual data shows BB-rated and Asia are…
• Roll estimates: We estimate fair value for the 2y, 5y and 7y rolls at settlement of -0.2bp, -0.1bp and 0.1bp, respectively. This translates into rolls at…
methods ahead of the refinancing of a ¥100bn hybrid loan (with approximately ¥50bn equity credit from rating agencies) due in October 2027. These instruments…
J P M O R G A N Global Markets Strategy We summarize EM local currency fixed-coupon government bond auctions for the Emerging Markets Strategy coming week…
JPMorgan expects continued stability for Asia credit markets in 2H26 following a resilience test from Middle East geopolitical shocks, with carry…
JPMorgan closes its underweight positions in Sri Lanka and the Philippines, expecting EM Asia to lead a relief rally as the region most exposed to the energy…
JPMorgan upgrades Mercari from Neutral to Overweight, raising its December 2026 price target from ¥3,200 to ¥5,000 based on a 23x P/E multiple applied to…